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Esophageal Cancer Prognosis: Survival by Stage and Treatment Advances

5-Year Relative Survival (SEER)

  • Localized (confined to esophagus): ~47% (not 70% – earlier data overestimated).
  • Regional (nodes/adjacent): ~26%.
  • Distant (metastatic): ~6%.
  • All stages combined: ~21%.

Prognostic Factors

  • Stage (TNM) – most powerful.
  • Histology (adenocarcinoma vs. squamous).
  • Grade, lymphovascular invasion.
  • Performance status, comorbidities.
  • Treatment: trimodality (neoadjuvant chemoradiation → surgery) improves resectable disease survival.
  • Molecular markers (HER2, PD-L1, MSI) guide targeted/immunotherapy in advanced disease.

Current Landscape

Outcomes improving with neoadjuvant FLOT chemotherapy, immunotherapy (nivolumab/pembrolizumab) for advanced/metastatic, and minimally invasive esophagectomy. Multidisciplinary esophageal cancer programs optimize staging, treatment selection, and supportive care.

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